Sure, we talk about New York too much. But with 22 states going to the voting booths for tomorrow's Super Tuesday, we need to talk about you, 'Bama... or you, Jersey... or you... uh, Missouri. (Isn't that Emily's job? Oh well, just this once....)
Let's take a look at those darling little polls. Heh heh. Polls. Beavis, you want to look at little polls...
The way it looks as of Monday morning...
DEMOCRATS
This is Hillary Clinton's race to lose and boy is she losing it. After holding strong in almost all of the Super Tuesday states right up until this weekend, the Senator from New York has seen her leads slip, disappear, evaporate, or be shredded as part of some vast right-wing conspiracy. Nonetheless, if Obama wins a majority of states tomorrow and reassumes the frontrunner mantle, it will still be a very close race to the Convention. Check it out:
Clinton will win: Minnesota, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee
Clinton is leading in but may still lose: Arizona, Massachusetts, New Jersey
Obama will win: Illinois, probably Colorado, Georgia
It's anybody's game in: Alabama, California, Connecticut, Delaware, and Missouri.
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REPUBLICANS:
The party's attack dogs were out in force over the last week, from Ann Coulter to Rush Limbaugh (who some say would back Barack rather than McCain), trying to solidify around someone, anyone but likely nominee John McCain. It's too late and too scattered-- none of them can stomach Mitt Romney, McCain's only real competition, and that gives the Arizona Senator a free pass.
McCain will win: Alabama, Arizona (duh), Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma and effectively end the race.
It's tied between McCain and Romney in: California
It's tied between McCain and Huckabee in: Missouri
Romney will win: Massachusetts (duh)
The following states will also apparently vote tomorrow, but I haven't found recent, reliable polls for any of them: Alaska, Arkansas (Clinton and Huckabee will win there), Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota, and Utah. These are conservative states, so you can probably guess. What's the buzz where you are?
[Polls: Real Clear Politics, Zoby, etc.]
[Photo: BBC]
