Let's look at the rundown:
1) COLORADO: Obama 43, McCain 41, other 8, undecided 7.
2) GEORGIA: McCain 44, Obama 43, Barr 6, undecided 7. (Margin of error: +/- 5%)
3) OHIO: Obama 47, McCain 42.
4) PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 48, McCain 41.
5) MICHIGAN: McCain 42, Obama 41.
6) WISCONSIN: Obama 49, McCain 41.
7) NEW HAMPSHIRE: McCain 45, Obama 43.
8) VIRGINIA: Tied at 44.
9) FLORIDA: McCain 47, Obama 42.
10) MISSOURI: Tied at 43.
Meanwhile, Politico has a scenario in which even, should these crazy numbers hold up (which they won't), McCain still takes it:
Here’s the scenario: Obama racks up huge margins among the increasingly
affluent, highly educated and liberal coastal states, while a
significant increase in turnout among black voters allows him to
compete — but not to win — in the South. Meanwhile, McCain wins solidly
Republican states such as Texas and Georgia by significantly smaller
margins than Bush’s in 2004 and ekes out narrow victories in places
such as North Carolina, which Bush won by 12 points but Rasmussen
presently shows as a tossup, and Indiana, which Bush won by 21 points
but McCain presently leads by just 11.
One possible result: Even as the national mood moves left, the 2004 map
largely holds. Obama’s 32 new electoral votes from Nevada, New Mexico,
Colorado and Virginia are offset by 21 new electoral votes for McCain
in Michigan and New Hampshire — and despite a 2- or 3-point popular
vote victory for Obama, America wakes up on Jan. 20 to a President
McCain.
We at Scanner believe the Electoral College is unconstitutional (thanks to that vague old "All men are created equal" thing), but it's too late change it for 2008...
Read more at Politico.
Pic via Valleywag.
