If The Election Were Today... Round Two

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

misfit_joy — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 23:52:25 GMT

Down to FL and OH again!!! What we need is a bad ass Hurricane to wipe out all the rich homes in FL and cause the republicans to leave. The only people who can't afford to evacuate will be the poor who will vote democrat ( if they vote). So FL will go to Obama.

Look what I'm reduced to imagining - God I'm depressed. I can't believe McCain might win.

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

Brian Fairbanks — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 17:26:23 GMT

It seems that Politico updated their calendar or changed it because, as you point out, it's not the same. Maybe some intern was computing the numbers today or something...

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

Daniel J Dwyer — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 17:20:07 GMT

Why does Politico's chart leave not count New Mexico? Take a look at the no toss ups map on realclearpolitics; it's a bit clearer and more detailed. It has also never showed Obama as behind McCain (currently shows things 275 for Obama and 263 for McCain). The chart on Politico currently has it at 270 to 263, in Obama's favor, with New Mexico's 5 votes missing. When is the screenshot you have above with the race at 259 to 274 come from? Did they have McCain wining Indiana at that point?

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

profrobert — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 17:06:52 GMT

Ah, right you are. My bad.

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

Brian Fairbanks — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 16:24:09 GMT

I think you were seeing "MO" as "MD" because Maryland isn't on that map. Not to worry, Obama is way ahead there on the larger map:

www.realclearpolitics.com/.../obama_vs_mccain

re: If The Election Were Today... Round Two

profrobert — Tue, 19 Aug 2008 16:07:45 GMT

I find it very hard to believe that Maryland is in play. Although the most recent polls I've seen showing Obama far in the lead are from February and March, Gore took 57% of the vote in 2000, and Kerry took 56% in 2004. There would have had to have been a seismic population shift to turn Maryland from a solid blue to a reddish purple. I'm not buying it.